Azerbaijan GDP Forecast

GDP Growth in 2021: +4.24%

GDP Growth in 2022: -0.31%

Time-series research analysis based on autoregressive integrate moving average with perdictor variables (ARIMAx)

Posted: 7.01.2022

Research report:

Azerbaijan_GDP.pdf

Codes and dataset

(1) Python code for PDF scraping from the Central Bank of the Republic of Azerbaijan (CBAR) Statistical Bulletins. The dataset is derived in this step

Alternatively in Google Colab in Jupyter Notebook format:

(2) Python code for testing the data before time-series analysis for forecasting

Alternatively in Google Colab

(3) Python code for selecting the best available ARIMAx model (a large loop over 238 combinations):

Alternatively in Google Colab

Dataset (used for testing and time-series forecasting)